Author: Eternity Lab

It’s not all that uncommon to see a playoff team with a losing record. But could we see two teams with losing records in the postseason field this year? 

Great question. Here’s another one: Yes, the “super team” Rams are struggling, but are they actually fraudulent? 

As usual, NFL fans brought their best takes to our @NFLonFOX Instagram after the latest week of action. Below, I break down some of the best ones and render a verdict on whether they’re fact or fiction. 

Let’s dive in: 

Two Teams Will Make The Playoffs With A Losing Record
– @thelockeroom_404

Fact or Fiction: Fiction

I’m not buying that there will be two playoff teams with losing records, but there could definitely be one: the NFC East winner. We’ve all seen how dreadful that division has been through the season’s first six weeks. An NFC East team hasn’t won a game since Week 4. 

The Giants (3-2-1) currently lead the division, but they have run-game issues and uncertainty at quarterback. After his fourth-quarter showing against the New Orleans Saints last week, former first-round pick J.J. McCarthy gets the nod for John Harbaugh’s squad Sunday against the Houston Texans. But McCarthy has been massively inconsistent throughout the early part of his career, and relief action is much different than when the opponent has a full week to prepare for you. 

The second-place Eagles (2-4) just lost quarterback Jalen Hurts for the season, on top of all the other injury issues they have. The Cowboys (2-4) are in a funk on offense and still have a defense that stinks. The last-place Commanders (1-4-1) have recurring game mismanagement problems and rank in the bottom half of the league on both sides of the ball. 

The NFC East team I have the most faith in is the Cowboys, because they have the most dependable quarterback in the division, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they finished the season under .500. Dak Prescott and his receivers need to get back on track, but even that won’t solve Dallas’ persistent run-game woes or fix a defense that can’t be trusted. 

Despite all that, the Cowboys could win the division with a losing record. 

The Bills Are Overrated
– @diya_rangi

Fact or Fiction: Fiction

The Bills are in great shape as they enter their bye week. At 5-1, they’d be the AFC’s No. 2 seed if the playoffs started today. They’re one of just four teams that have one or no losses. 

But like we’ve seen in years prior, star quarterback Josh Allen’s greatness is masking larger issues for this team. So the Bills are more flawed than “overrated.”

The biggest problem is on defense. They’ve allowed at least 29 points in five of their six games this season; the one time they didn’t was in Week 3 against the 0-6 Chargers, who have a dreadful offense. Buffalo has the league’s second-worst pass defense (allowing 285.8 passing yards per game) and now two of its defensive backs are facing suspensions for spitting at the opponent in the team’s Week 6 win over the Las Vegas Raiders, including starter C.J. Gardner-Johnson. Other than edge Gregory Rousseau, who’s enjoying a career year, the Bills don’t have much of a pass-rush threat. They rank 20th in sacks (11) and 30th in pressure rate (30.0%), according to Next Gen Stats. 

And despite being strong overall in run defense, Buffalo is susceptible to back-breaking rushes. The team has given up 18 runs of at least 10-plus yards this season, which is tied for 20th in the league, per NGS.  

Quarterback Josh Allen is playing Superman again for the Bills. Will Buffalo’s defense step up and do its part? (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

The Bills are averaging 32.8 points per game, tied for the league-high, but ball security is a problem, too. The Raiders game last week was the first time they didn’t turn the ball over in a month. Of Buffalo’s nine giveaways (tied for 10th-most in the NFL), seven have come from its two best offensive players: Allen (five turnovers) and running back James Cook (two). 

The Chiefs (5-0) and Jaguars (4-2) look more trustworthy in the AFC. 

The Rams Are Frauds
– @jace.bailey1>

Fact or Fiction: Fact

The Rams aren’t a bad team. But they’ve regressed in several areas while simultaneously feeling the effects of their age and bad luck, making them a shell of the “super team” they were hyped to be in the offseason.

L.A.’s injury list reads like a grocery shopping receipt:

• All-Pro DE Myles Garrett (knee) is on injured reserve, has missed five games and is not yet ready to practice.
• Star WR Davante Adams (hamstring) is out at least six weeks.
• DT Kobie Turner (groin) is out at least four games on injured reserve.
• Star CB Trent McDuffie (groin) missed Week 6 and his status for this week is unclear.
• NT Poona Ford (triceps) is out for the year.
• K Blake Grupe is out for the year after tearing his ACL in his Rams debut. L.A. will have its third kicker in three weeks after signing free-agent Brandon McManus.

Penalties, turnovers and unforced errors have all been issues for the Rams as well.

They had the third-fewest penalties in the NFL last season (89) but are tied for the 10th-most through six weeks this year (46), according to NFLpenalties.com. The Rams are also tied for 10th-most in giveaways in 2026 (9) after being tied for fourth-fewest a year ago (15). Reigning MVP Matthew Stafford is playing nowhere near the level he played at last season, while coach Sean McVay hasn’t been as sharp calling plays or managing games. 

I don’t think you can count the Rams out, just because of their superior talent and the eventual return of several key players down the stretch. But they’re not a Super Bowl threat. With the 49ers (6-0) running away with the NFC West, the Rams will be clawing for a wild-card spot in a competitive NFC.

   The Super Bowl Will Once Again Be Chiefs-49ers
– @gr4v3._.wk4Ik3r>

Fact or Fiction: Fiction 

I’m not ready to make that declaration! We’re only six weeks into the season and the NFL is far too unpredictable. But right now, sure: The Chiefs and 49ers, who’ve met in two of the past seven Super Bowls (LVIII, LIV), would be my picks to represent the AFC and NFC, respectively, at SoFi Stadium on Feb. 14. 

The Chiefs and Niners are two of the NFL’s three unbeaten teams, and they’re also the league’s most complete squads. Both rank in the top five in scoring offense and defense. Both have MVP-caliber quarterbacks.  

The Bills and Jaguars are probably Kansas City’s biggest threats in the AFC. But as indicated above, I just don’t trust Buffalo’s defense. You can’t count out the Baltimore Ravens (4-2) or the Cincinnati Bengals (3-2), who are currently the conference’s eighth and ninth seeds, because of what their quarterbacks are capable of when healthy. 

In the NFC, the Bears, with a healthy Caleb Williams, look like the 49ers’ biggest threat. I know the Vikings are undefeated, but their offense is too much of a liability (22nd in scoring, 27th in total offense). And I outlined the Rams’ problems already. The reigning champion Seahawks (3-3) don’t have a run game. The Panthers (3-2) are unproven. Any thought entering the year that any NFC East team could be in the mix is pretty much gone at this point.  

But it’s still too early to send the Chiefs and Niners to SoFi. Anything can happen, and it usually does in the NFL.

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Upsets, a top-25 shuffle and a new No. 1 headlined a chaotic Week 7 of college football. Are we in for more of the same in Week 8?

It starts with No. 7 Ole Miss heading to No. 19 Texas. After suffering its second straight loss to unranked opponents – Oklahoma in Week 6 and Florida in Week 7 – all eyes are on Texas to see if Arch Manning will pull off a bounce-back win.

Another conference showdown to watch is No. 14 Houston at No. 10 Utah, with both coming off Week 7 wins: Houston’s Conner Weigman threw five total touchdowns, and Utah narrowly escaped Colorado with a 27-24 victory. This top-15 matchup will carry major conference championship implications.

What does FOX Sports’ Joel Klatt think of the Week 8 slate? Here are his Week 8 picks and previews, revealed on the latest episode of “The Joel Klatt Show”.

  Ole Miss 28, Texas 21

Ole Miss sits 5-1 on the season heading into a road contest at No. 19 Texas. (Photo by Justin Ford/Getty Images)

Spread: Texas -3.5
Moneyline: Texas -162, Ole Miss +136

Klatt’s thoughts: “Ole Miss, after blowing out Missouri, they go to Texas. And now Texas has to play at home off of back-to-back losses. Two straight for Steve Sarkisian and the boys. Based on the film that I watched, this entire offense has got to get better. It is not just Arch Manning, that is a fallacy. You cannot just replace Arch Manning and fix the Texas offense. That is not in the equation. It’s just not. The main culprit is their offensive line. Their offensive line is playing really poorly. So you need to simplify and allow them to come off the ball, allow them to run a few concepts, and do that well. If you’re able to do that, I think that you can start to fix the offensive line. If you start to fix the offensive line, maybe you should start to fix the run game. If you start to fix the run, fix the run game, maybe Arch has more opportunities to throw the football.

“I thought Ole Miss was going to be an average defense at one point. They shut down Missouri cold. [Missouri] couldn’t do anything on the ground. Ole Miss dominated them on the ground. You still have Trinidad Chambliss. I still might take him No. 1 overall from a quarterback perspective. Running back Kewan Lacy is healthy. Their defense is right. Their star players are back, and as good as Texas’ defense is they did struggle in the second half. They, as Sarkisian put it, kind of bled out and couldn’t get a stop as DE Colin Simmons left that game with an injury. It’s unclear whether he’s going to return. Even if he does, he left on a cart. I can’t imagine that he would be 100% even if he is on the football field. And now you’ve got to run around and defend Trinidad Chambliss? I don’t love that at all.

“I think Ole Miss wins this outright, 28-21. I’ll take the -3.5 and take Ole Miss.”

Klatt’s straight-up pick: Ole Miss
Klatt’s pick against the spread: Ole Miss +3.5

  Utah 30, Houston 27

Devon Dampier and Utah pulled out a close 27-24 win over Colorado in Week 7. (Photo by Bryan Byerly/ISI Photos/ISI Photos via Getty Images)

Spread: Utah -6.5
Moneyline: Utah -225, Houston +185

Klatt’s thoughts: “Houston at Utah. How about an underrated Houston win last week. Houston with a great performance, particularly out of their quarterback, Conner Weigman. They beat Drew Mestemaker and the Cowboys 35-32 in a great game. You know how I feel about Mestemaker. I think he’s one of the better quarterbacks in the country. Houston’s for real. I know that they lost that game earlier this year [against Texas Tech]. But man, they can throw the football, their defense can stop the run. Weigman is having a great season, he’s second in the country in touchdown passes and total touchdowns. He’s playing at a very high level. They’ve got two wide receivers that I like a lot, Amare Thomas and Trent Walker … Now [Houston] has to go on the road and face Utah, who is historically very good at home in Salt Lake. I don’t love how Houston played on the road against Colorado. 

“I didn’t love what I saw from Utah. They faced a lot of lower-level competition, both from Power Four and otherwise to start, and they were hammering lower-end opponents. Then they face a few opponents with a pulse, like mid-Kansas and Colorado. They end up getting the wins, but in both of those games it’s in doubt in the second half. As much as you know, I love Utah, I didn’t even have them in my top 10. They still have Devon Dampier, they still have Wayshawn Parker. They should still be able to run the ball. But, Houston can stop the run. I think Utah could struggle to stop some of the run game against Conner Weigman and these two wide receivers. I see a bit of a higher scoring game. 

“I see Utah ultimately winning because of the home field. But I have to take the 6.5 towards Houston in this one. Utah wins it 31-27.”

Klatt’s straight-up pick: Utah
Klatt’s pick against the spread: Houston +6.5

  LSU 34, Auburn 30

Can LSU and Lane Kiffin avoid a road loss this season in its Week 8 showdown at Auburn? (Photo by Tyler Kaufman/Getty Images)

Spread: LSU -7.5
Moneyline: LSU -298, Auburn +240

Klatt’s thoughts: “LSU at Auburn. LSU is favored by 7.5 Auburn coming off of that huge win over Georgia. LSU routed Mississippi State 31-0. Remember, Mississippi State was without Kamario Taylor in that game, he was banged up, didn’t play. At Auburn, I think you’ve got to look at LSU on the road and what they have been not only this year but in the recent past. LSU struggles on the road. They’re 0-2 this year on the road. So, that needs to change for Lane Kiffin. Their defense needs to play well, obviously, because Byrum Brown has back-to-back 100-yard rushing games from the quarterback position, and that is the formula for Alex Golesh and Brown.

“Like, I don’t think Auburn is just going to get stomped out by LSU. They both have two losses, and 7.5 on the road is too much, not for a team that has lost their last six on the road. Now, I think LSU gets the win, but that’s too many, so I’ve got to take the 7.5. I think LSU wins this 34-30. I’m going to take the 7.5 for Auburn. 

“I know it’s an emotional win, and we have seen teams this year after emotional wins really have a letdown. I’m going to bank on the fact that [Auburn is] returning home and getting to play at home, and LSU’s got to go on the road. I’m banking that Golesh is going to get Brown going on the edge a little bit. We’ll see if LSU’s defense can react. LSU is banged up. Lane Kiffin’s lamenting the [nine-game conference schedule]. He’s trying to throw excuses in front of his team.”

Klatt’s straight-up pick: LSU
Klatt’s pick against the spread: Auburn +7.5

  USC 24, Wisconsin 20

Jayden Maiava currently leads the Big Ten in passing yards with 2,045. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Spread: USC -2.5
Moneyline: USC -155, Wisconsin +130

Klatt’s thoughts: “USC at Wisconsin. USC favored by 2.5 on the road, coming off of a bye week. Their last matchup was on the road against Penn State in the whiteout. Wisconsin was on the road last week in L.A., getting beat by UCLA in a 17-7 game. I’m really interested to see what that Penn State win did for USC. Their confidence on the road, their overall operation on the road. We have seen them struggle mightily, in particular going east. Even this year when they tried to go out to Rutgers, they got the win but it was sloppy, in particular on the defensive side. Then they go out there and they get the win over Penn State. And Wisconsin was able to beat Penn State also at Penn State. I think this could be a close game.

“[USC has] got Trent Mosley back on the outside. They’re getting a little healthier after the bye week. I just think that even if you’re playing great defense, they’re still going to score 21, 24 points. They should be able to run football a little bit. Wisconsin’s not great against the run; they’re okay, but not great against the run. I like what Luke Fickell has done. I am a big fan of this Wisconsin team, but they can’t throw the football. Colton Joseph is a good, solid running quarterback, but they cannot throw the football. If that’s the floor for USC, the only way Wisconsin gets there is if USC props them up. So Jayden Maiava’s got to play clean. They can’t turn the football over. You can’t have special teams gaffes. And if they can play clean from a penalty perspective, I know that’s a huge if, huge if. I think USC is able to go out there and get the win on the road, even in a close game, and even in a close win. 

“You’ve got to have them covering the 2.5. USC, 24-20 in this ball game.”

Klatt’s straight-up pick: USC
Klatt’s pick against the spread: USC -2.5

  Iowa 24, Minnesota 17

Jeremy Hecklinski led the Hawkeyes to a 41-24 win over Washington in his first start for Iowa. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

Spread: Iowa -6.5
Moneyline: Iowa -258, Minnesota +210

Klatt’s thoughts: “Iowa at Minnesota. Iowa is ranked 15th, they’re favored by 6.5. They’re playing really well. They blew out Washington and Seattle the last time we saw them play. I like Minnesota. I love P.J. Fleck. How are they scoring 17 against Iowa in this game? I don’t see it. Meanwhile, they’re not stopping the run. Purdue ran for over 300 yards on the ground against Minnesota last week. Don’t love that aspect of what’s going on. 

“So here we are with Iowa. They’re going to run the football. They’re going to play great defense. They’re Iowa. I actually like Jeremy Hecklinski at quarterback, maybe even over Hank Brown. Their only loss was against Ohio State in a game in which Jeremiah Smith was going off and nobody on the planet could defend him. I think this is a team that’s going to be there in the end in the Big Ten. You look at their schedule: it is manageable. I like Reece Vander Zee, their wide receiver. I like Hecklinski. I like their tight end. Their defense is always good, and again, that rush defense from Minnesota just scares me. After Purdue was able to get after them on the ground, maybe the defense against Michigan was more about Michigan than it was against Minnesota. 

“I’m going to go Iowa in this one. I think that they cover the 6.5, even on the road, something along the lines of, you know 24-17.”

Klatt’s straight-up pick: Iowa
Klatt’s pick against the spread: Iowa -6.5

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The Week 7 NFL matchup between Chicago Bears and New England Patriots is set for Thursday, October 22, 2026, at 8:15 PM EDT at Soldier Field in Chicago.

Chicago enters this game at 4-2, good for the No. 6 seed in the NFC and third place in the NFC North. The Bears have built that start behind a powerful ground game and a defense that has kept them in control of games, ranking first in the NFL in rushing yards per game at 160.7 and sixth in points allowed per game at 19.8. They also come in off a win, and their profile through six games shows a team that can lean on the run, stay efficient on third down, and pressure quarterbacks with 17 sacks.

New England also brings a 4-2 record into Week 7 and has climbed to the No. 5 seed in the AFC while sitting second in the AFC East. The Patriots have won three straight, and their path has looked a little different, with a more productive passing attack leading the way behind Drake Maye’s 1,463 passing yards and 11 touchdown passes through six games. Their defense has matched that progress by allowing 18.8 points per game, fifth best in the league, giving this matchup the feel of two teams arriving with similar records but different offensive identities.

Below are the details on how to watch.

How to Watch New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears

• When: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 8:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
• Stream: Amazon Prime Video

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No. 26 is back.

Philadelphia Eagles star running back Saquon Barkley is expected to return to practice Thursday and play in the team’s Monday night matchup at home against the Dallas Cowboys, NFL Media reported on Thursday morning.

Barkley missed Philadelphia’s last two games due to a hamstring injury that he suffered in the team’s Week 4 loss to the Los Angeles Rams.

Eagles’ Banged Up RB Room

The Eagles have also been without running backs Tank Bigbsy (placed on injured reserve on Oct. 6 due to core muscle surgery) and Will Shipley (placed on injured reserve on Oct. 16 due to a foot injury).

With Barkley sidelined, Dameon Pierce rushed for 49 yards and one score on 2.1 yards per carry over the Eagles’ last two games. Philadelphia also has running back Elijah Mitchell on its practice squad.

Prior to the injury, Barkley, the 2024 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award winner, rushed for 182 yards and zero touchdowns on 5.1 yards per carry.

Saquon Barkley hasn’t played since Week 4 due to a hamstring injury. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)

In all, the Eagles’ offense is just 29th in the NFL in rushing yards (82.2 per game), 24th in total yards (311.2 per game), 23rd in passing yards (194.3 per game) and 19th in points (22.3 per game).

Barkley is coming off an underwhelming season by his standards, as the three-time Pro Bowler rushed for 1,140 yards and seven touchdowns on 4.1 yards per carry in 2025. This was after Barkley became just the ninth player in NFL history to rush for 2,000 yards in a single season in 2024, tallying 2,005 yards and 13 rushing scores on 5.8 yards carry en route to Philadelphia winning Super Bowl LIX.

Jalen Hurts’ Health

Barkley’s return comes in the wake of the Eagles placing quarterback Jalen Hurts on injured reserve and his season over due to blood clots in both the quarterback’s calf and lungs.

Tanner McKee, who started in the team’s Week 6 loss to the Carolina Panthers, is expected to be under center for the Eagles moving forward.

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The now-or-never nature of postseason baseball lends itself to the game’s most iconic moments. Those often include walk-offs, which can force the next game in a high-stakes series or even secure a World Series title. 

Whether it was a grand slam, a bloop single delivered by a future Hall of Famer or a sac fly from the unlikeliest role player, each team can point to at least one pivotal postseason (or in some cases simply a decisive game) walk-off in its history. 

 

                   
         

              

• Arizona Diamondbacks: Luis Gonzalez, 2001 WS, Game 7, Single to Shallow LCF
• Athletics: Bing Miller, 1929 WS, Game 5, Double to RCF
• Atlanta Braves: Francisco Cabrera, 1992 NLCS, Game 7, Single to LF
• Baltimore Orioles: John Lowenstein, 1979 ALCS, Game 1, Home run to LF
• Boston Red Sox: David Ortiz, 2004 ALCS, Game 4, Home run to RF
• Chicago Cubs: Stan Hack, 1945 WS, Game 6, Double to LF
• Chicago White Sox: Scott Podsednik, 2005 WS, Game 2, Home run to RCF
• Cincinnati Reds: Joe Morgan, 1975 WS, Game 3, Single to CF
• Cleveland Guardians: Oscar González, 2022 AL Wild Card, Game 2, Home run to LCF
• Colorado Rockies: Jamey Carroll, 2007 NL tiebreaker (Game 163), Sac fly to RF
• Detroit Tigers: Magglio Ordóñez, 2006 ALCS, Game 4, Home run to LF
• Houston Astros: Jose Altuve, 2019 ALCS, Game 6, Home run to LCF
• Kansas City Royals: Salvador Perez, 2014 AL Wild Card Game, Single to Down the LF line
• Los Angeles Angels: Jeff Mathis, 2009 ALCS, Game 3, Double to LCF
• Los Angeles Dodgers: Freddie Freeman, 2024 WS, Game 1, Home run to RF
• Miami Marlins: Édgar Rentería, 1997 WS, Game 7, Single to CF
• Milwaukee Brewers: Nyjer Morgan, 2011 NLDS, Game 5, Single to CF
• Minnesota Twins: Gene Larkin, 1991 WS, Game 7, Single to LCF
• New York Mets: Mookie Wilson, 1986 WS, Game 6, Error to Grounder to 1B
• New York Yankees: Aaron Boone, 2003 ALCS, Game 7, Home run to LF
• Philadelphia Phillies: Jimmy Rollins, 2009 NLCS, Game 4, Double to RCF
• Pittsburgh Pirates: Bill Mazeroski, 1960 WS, Game 7, Home run to LF
• San Diego Padres: Steve Garvey, 1984 NLCS, Game 4, Home run to RF
• San Francisco Giants: Bobby Thomson, 1951 NL tiebreaker, Game 3, Home run to LF
• Seattle Mariners: Edgar Martínez, 1995 ALDS, Game 5, Double to LF
• St. Louis Cardinals: David Freese, 2011 WS, Game 6, Home run to CF
• Tampa Bay Rays: Brett Phillips, 2020 WS, Game 4, Single + 2 errors to RCF
• Texas Rangers: Adolis García, 2023 WS, Game 1, Home run to RF
• Toronto Blue Jays: Joe Carter, 1993 WS, Game 6, Home run to LF
• Washington Nationals: Jayson Werth, 2012 NLDS, Game 4, Home run to LCF

                                                                                                                                                                                    

 ’01Gonzalez

 ’29Miller

 ’92Cabrera

 ’79Lowenstein

 ’04Ortiz

 ’45Hack

 ’05Podsednik

 ’75Morgan

 ’22González

 ’07Carroll

 ’06Ordóñez

 ’19Altuve

 ’14Perez

 ’09Mathis

 ’24Freeman

 ’97Rentería

 ’11Morgan

 ’91Larkin

 ’86Wilson

 ’03Boone

 ’09Rollins

 ’60Mazeroski

 ’84Garvey

 ’51Thomson

 ’95Martínez

 ’11Freese

 ’20Phillips

 ’23García

 ’93Carter

 ’12Werth

 ’01Gonzalez

 ’29Miller

 ’92Cabrera

 ’79Lowenstein

 ’04Ortiz

 ’45Hack

 ’05Podsednik

 ’75Morgan

 ’22González

 ’07Carroll

 ’06Ordóñez

 ’19Altuve

 ’14Perez

 ’09Mathis

 ’24Freeman

 ’97Rentería

 ’11Morgan

 ’91Larkin

 ’86Wilson

 ’03Boone

 ’09Rollins

 ’60Mazeroski

 ’84Garvey

 ’51Thomson

 ’95Martínez

 ’11Freese

 ’20Phillips

 ’23García

 ’93Carter

 ’12Werth

           

Here’s each team’s best:

Click on a team below to navigate this post.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Baltimore Orioles

John Lowenstein, Game 1 of 1979 ALCS

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John Lowenstein (right) pours champagne over manager Earl Weaver’s head after the Orioles defeated the California Angels in Game 4 of the 1979 American League Championship Series. (B Bennett/Getty Images)

In 26 pinch-hit attempts with the Orioles in 1979, John Lowenstein had six hits and three RBIs. In Game 1 of the 1979 ALCS, Lowenstein subbed in for shortstop Mark Belanger in the bottom of the 10th inning with the score tied 3-3, with two outs and runners on first and second. He matched his season pinch-hit RBI total with one swing by sending a three-run homer that barely made it over the wall in left. 

The game-winner was hit off John Montague on a bender on the outside part of the plate, and Lowenstein poked it to left field just to the right of the 309-foot marker by the foul pole. Baltimore would go on to win the ALCS in four games.

Boston Red Sox

David Ortiz, Game 4 of 2004 ALCS

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The Red Sox comeback in the 2004 ALCS started in Game 4 with David Ortiz’s walk-off home run. (Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)

David Ortiz had 23 walk-off hits in his career, a total so high that it forced analytical minds to ponder whether clutch could actually be measured. The 2004 season was a highlight for Big Papi, who hit a two-run, two-out homer against the Angels to end the ALDS and send the Red Sox to the ALCS against the Yankees, when Ortiz, on back-to-back days, won games for Boston with walk-off hits. 

With the Red Sox staring down an 0-3 deficit in Game 4, Ortiz hit a 12th-inning, two-run walk-off against Paul Quantrill to give Boston a 6-4 win, then in Game 5 managed a 14th-inning single for another win, leading to the unprecedented series comeback and eventual first Red Sox World Series championship since 1918.

New York Yankees

Aaron Boone, Game 7 of 2003 ALCS

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Aaron Boone’s walk-off home run was an epic chapter in the Yankees-Red Sox rivalry. (Al Bello/Getty Images)

Who else but Aaron Boone, and who else but the Red Sox? Boston managed to force a Game 7 in the 2003 ALCS against the Yankees with a 9-6 win in Game 6, and Game 7 was within their grasp, too, until Grady Little infamously left Pedro Martinez in to suffer at well over 100 pitches in his fourth time through the order and New York tied the game. In extras, the two sides remained scoreless with closer Mariano Rivera retiring six of the seven batters he faced, and knuckleballer Tim Wakefield coming on in relief with a successful 10th – but less successful 11th. 

Aaron Boone led off that inning and took Wakefield deep to punch a ticket to the World Series, once again leaving the Red Sox on the cusp but no further.

Tampa Bay Rays

Brett Phillips, Game 4 of 2020 World Series

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Brett Phillips delivered a memorable walk-off during the 2020 World Series, which took place in Arlington, Texas. (Robert Gauthier/ Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)

Where to begin with this one. 

The Dodgers were ahead, 7-6, in the bottom of the ninth in Game 4 of the 2020 World Series against the Rays. Closer Kenley Jansen was on the mound, and while there were two runners on, there were also two outs. Kevin Kiermaier had singled and Randy Arozarena had walked, bringing up Brett Phillips. 

Phillips hit a single to center with two strikes, scoring Kiermaier with ease, but this is where things got weird. Center fielder Chris Taylor failed to corral the ball and knocked it to shallow right-center, caught up to it and immediately threw home with Arozarena trying to make it from first on the miscue. He knew he was cooked and started to head back to third, but it turned out catcher Will Smith did not have the ball, causing Arozarena to turn again and race home to score the winning run.

Toronto Blue Jays

Joe Carter, Game 6 of 1993 World Series

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Joe Carter’s walk-off home run sealed the Blue Jays’ second straight World Series victory. (Rick Stewart/Getty Images)

“Touch em all, Joe!” is one of the most famous calls in history for a reason. Joe Carter did not hit a bigger home run in his life, true to the promise made by broadcaster Tom Cheek, but then again, few players ever have. Carter ended World Series Game 6 with a three-run shot off Phillies closer Mitch Williams, who had already allowed a walk to Rickey Henderson and a single to Paul Molitor in the inning. It marked just the second walk-off home run to end a World Series, and the first to be hit by a team trailing, as well. 

Carter hit 396 homers and another six in the postseason, but none is more special than one that ended a World Series.

Chicago White Sox

Scott Podsednik, Game 2 of 2005 World Series

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Scott Podsednik (center) ended Game 2 of the 2005 World Series with a home run en route to a White Sox championship. (Brian Bahr/Getty Images)

Astros closer Brad Lidge stood at 6-foot-5 and 210 pounds, and his fastball could reach up to 98 mph – back when that was not the norm. In Game 2 of the 2005 World Series, in a game tied 6-6 in the ninth, he came up against the visibly smaller Scott Podsednik, the White Sox outfielder and leadoff hitter who did not hit a single home run during the regular season. 

In Game 2 of the World Series, though, Scotty Pods launched a walk-off dinger against Lidge – his second of the playoffs, and the second walk-off blast allowed by the reliable Lidge that postseason – to win it for the White Sox.

Cleveland Guardians

Oscar Gonzalez, Game 2 of 2022 AL Wild Card Series

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A 15th-inning home run makes for a memorable walk-off. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)

A scoreless game in the bottom of the 15th inning, with the Guardians up 1-0 in the series over the Rays – one more Cleveland win, and it heads to the ALDS. Standing in the way was ex-Guardians ace Corey Kluber, who was serving as a reliever for Tampa Bay, with the Rays already having gone through seven other pitchers to that point. 

Kluber started with 1 2/3 scoreless innings, but then Oscar Gonzalez strode to the plate to lead off the 15th. The rookie outfielder took the second pitch he saw, an 85-mph cutter that did not cut enough, and deposited it a few rows deep in left-center for the 1-0 win.

Gonzalez later delivered another memorable walk-off hit against the Yankees in the ALDS (a Game 3 bases-loaded single in the ninth inning), but it is hard to argue that could top his homer against the Rays.

Detroit Tigers

Magglio Ordonez, Game 4 of 2006 ALCS

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Magglio Ordonez sent the Tigers to the World Series with a memorable walk-off home run at Comerica Park. (Chuck Solomon/Sports Illustrated via Getty Images)

What a game for Magglio Ordonez. The Tigers were up 3-0 in the ALCS against the Athletics, but the A’s were winning 3-2 in the sixth inning in Game 4. Ordonez led off the bottom of the frame and tied it with a line-drive homer off starter Dan Haren. 

With the game still 3-3 in the bottom of the ninth, Ordonez came up again, this time against closer Huston Street, and crushed a three-run homer to left field to send Detroit to the World Series for the first time since 1984.

Kansas City Royals

Salvador Perez, 2014 AL Wild Card Game

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The Royals’ run to the 2014 World Series began with Salvador Perez’s walk-off hit in the Wild Card Game against the Athletics. (Ed Zurga/Getty Images)

The Wild Card Game – also known as the Baseball Thunderdome, for the ball-knowers – no longer exists, but it served us heartbreaking baseball for a few years before it was replaced by the Wild Card Series. Such as in 2014, in one of the wildest postseason games ever played, one that showed the full potential of a game designed to take a fan base from excited to heartbroken in a matter of hours. 

The Royals took on the Athletics in Kansas City, and Oakland went up 2-0 in the first before K.C. took the lead in the third, 3-2, only for the Athletics to go up 7-3 in the sixth with a homer and a couple of singles. The Royals fought back to tie it in the bottom of the ninth with two outs, then both teams scored once in extras. 

Salvador Perez came to bat in the 12th with two outs and the score still 8-8, and walked it off against the third pitcher of the inning to send K.C. to the ALDS.

Minnesota Twins

Gene Larkin, Game 7 of 1991 World Series

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Gene Larkin won the World Series for the Twins in 1991 with his walk-off single. (Focus on Sport via Getty Images)

This is a two-parter. Before Gene Larkin could walk it off in Game 7 against the Braves to secure the Twins second World Series championship in five years, Kirby Puckett had to ensure there was a Game 7 to win. And the future Hall of Famer did just that in Game 6, leading off the bottom of the 11th with a walk-off homer to left-center that ended a three-game winning streak for Atlanta and forced a Game 7. There, John Smoltz and Jack Morris dueled, with Smoltz throwing 7 1/3 dominant, scoreless innings, while Morris countered and then some by throwing a complete-game shutout of 10 innings. 

Morris got the win when Larkin came up after a pair of intentional walks to load the bases with one out and lifted a ball over the head of Brian Hunter head in left field – that was the ballgame, and the series.

Athletics

Bing Miller, Game 5 of 1929 World Series

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Bing Miller, the walk-off hero for the 1929 World Series champions. (Photo by George Rinhart/Corbis via Getty Images)

Part of the reason the Chicago Cubs went 108 years between championships is Bing Miller. The outfielder for the then-Philadelphia Athletics had his best season in 1929 by batting .331/.380/.489, serving as another important piece of a lineup that included future Hall of Famers Jimmie Foxx, Al Simmons and Mickey Cochrane. 

It was Miller, not any of the Cooperstown-bound trio, that closed out the 1929 Fall Classic: with two outs in the bottom of the ninth, Miller laced a two-run double – his seventh hit of the series – to put the Athletics up 3-2 and clinch the title.

Houston Astros

Jose Altuve, Game 6 of 2019 ALCS

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Jose Altuve’s walk-off home run off Aroldis Chapman won the Astros their second pennant in three years. (Elsa/Getty Images)

The Astros won their first-ever World Series title in 2017, and got another shot at a championship in 2019. Jose Altuve was a significant reason for that, between batting .298/.353/.550 in the regular season and then posting OPS of 1.281 and 1.097 in the first two rounds of the postseason against the Rays and Yankees. 

The latter was felled by Altuve himself in the ALCS: the second baseman strode to the plate in the bottom of the ninth with two outs in Game 6, with the Yankees having tied the game up 4-4 with a two-run blast from DJ LeMahieu in the top of the frame. Altuve had already doubled, walked and driven in two runs, and he drove in another two with a walk-off dinger off Yankees closer Aroldis Chapman.

Los Angeles Angels

Jeff Mathis, Game 3 of 2009 ALCS

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Howie Kendrick slides home on Jeff Mathis’ walk-off double in 2009. (Jeff Gross/Getty Images)

Jeff Mathis was not known for his bat. He was an (excellent) defense-first catcher playing for a manager who was a backstop in his playing days, and so it was fine for everyone involved that he never had even an average offensive season in his 17-year career.

In the 2009 ALCS, however, it was the bat that stood out for Mathis. With the Angels and Yankees tied at four apiece in the ninth, Alfredo Aceves came on in relief in the 11th and allowed a single to Howie Kendrick before facing Mathis, who had entered as a defensive replacement earlier. Mathis inexplicably doubled by hitting a ball to the warning track just out of reach of Jerry Hairston Jr., who then collided with the fence. Kendrick scored from first amid the chaos, and Mathis was the offensive hero for one night.

Seattle Mariners

Edgar Martinez, Game 5 of 1995 ALDS

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Ken Griffey Jr. is greeted by Alex Rodriguez at home plate after scoring on Edgar Martinez’s walk-off hit. (Richard Mackson /Sports Illustrated via Getty Images)

The first Division Series round of the Wild Card era delivered on its promise, with the Mariners and Yankees pushing things to a Game 5 after New York won the first two games of the series and then Seattle answered with two in a row itself. 

As if that was not enough, Game 5 went to extras: the Mariners tied the game in the bottom of the eighth when Doug Strange walked to score rookie shortstop Alex Rodriguez, who had entered the game as a pinch-runner for this very purpose. In the 11th, starter Jack McDowell was still on the mound after entering in relief of Mariano Rivera in the ninth, and he took his second “L” of the series courtesy of a Joey Cora single, another by Ken Griffey Jr. and then what came to be known as “The Double” from Edgar Martinez. 

Both Cora and Griffey scored, and the Mariners had their first-ever postseason series victory.

Texas Rangers

Adolis Garcia, Game 1 of 2023 World Series

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Adolis Garcia’s walk-off home run in Game 1 of the 2023 World Series sent Texas on its way to a championship against Arizona. (Cooper Neill/MLB Photos via Getty Images)

The Rangers already knew the pain of a World Series walk-off win, and inflicted it on the Diamondbacks in 2023. With the game tied 5-5 in the bottom of the 11th and Miguel Castro on the mound, Garcia got hold of a 97-mph pitch that caught way too much plate, even if it was not served to a guy who hit 39 regular-season homers and used his significant power to send it into the stands. 

It turned out to be an omen for the World Series itself. The Rangers were not to be denied here as they had been in previous Fall Classics, and dispatched Arizona in just five games.

Atlanta Braves

Francisco Cabrera, Game 7 of 1992 NLCS

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Sid Bream memorably slides home on Francisco Cabrera’s walk-off single in the 1992 NLCS. (Ronald C. Modra/Sports Illustrated via Getty Images)

Francisco Cabrera appeared in just 12 games for the 1992 Atlanta Braves, and logged all of 11 plate appearances. His playing time did not increase in October, either, with Cabrera appearing in two games in the NLCS and coming to the plate twice. The second time was the one that mattered: with two outs in the bottom of the ninth in Game 7 and Atlanta down 2-1 to the Pirates, Cabrera pinch-hit for reliever Jeff Reardon to face Stan Belinda, and he singled to left to drive in David Justice and Sid Bream, who just beat the throw home for the W.

Miami Marlins

Edgar Renteria, Game 7 of 1997 World Series

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Edgar Renteria is carried off the field by Livan Hernandez and Gary Sheffield after his walk-off hit to win the World Series for the Marlins. (Brian Bahr / Allsport)

Cleveland was ahead of the then-Florida Marlins in Game 7 of the 1997 Series, in line to win its first championship since 1948. And then Craig Counsell happened – twice. First, he hit a sac fly to tie the game in the ninth, and then in the 11th inning, he reached on an error with one out against starter Charles Nagy, who had entered in relief to close out the 10th. 

Counsell moved to second on an intentional walk, to third on a force out at home to retire Bobby Bonilla, and then scored when Edgar Renteria singled to center with a looper up the middle that deflected off the top of the raised glove of Nagy – Cleveland was that close to winning it all. 

Instead, Renteria plated Counsell in extras, and the Marlins had their first-ever championship after a mere four-year wait.

New York Mets

Mookie Wilson, Game 6 of 1986 World Series

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Mookie Wilson’s hit that went through the legs of Bill Buckner. (Anthony Neste /Sports Illustrated via Getty Images)

The result of Game 6 was not entirely on Bill Buckner, given reliever Calvin Schiraldi allowed three-straight singles before the ball went through the legs of Buckner, and a wild pitch from Bob Stanley tied the game 5-5 before Mookie Wilson ever put bat to ball. 

Bill Buckner’s error lives in both Red Sox and Mets lore. (Photo by John Iacono /Sports Illustrated via Getty Images)

Still, though, it was Buckner letting the grounder off the bat of Wilson roll through his legs and into the outfield to score Ray Knight, which officially won Game 6 for the Mets and forced a Game 7, which New York also won – the Red Sox recovered eventually, but it took nearly another two decades, while the Mets got to fly a flag that flies forever right there in 1986.

Philadelphia Phillies

Jimmy Rollins, Game 4 of 2009 NLCS

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Jimmy Rollins celebrates with teammates after his game-winning, two-run double to beat the Dodgers in Game 4 of the 2009 NLCS. (Nick Laham/Getty Images)

The Phillies were ahead of the Dodgers 2-1 in the 2009 NLCS, but Los Angeles had a chance to even up the series after taking a 4-2 lead in the top of the sixth against starter Joe Blanton. Second baseman Chase Utley drove in a run in the next frame to cut the lead in half, but neither team got on the board again until the bottom of the ninth. 

Closer Jonathan Broxton racked up two outs, but he also walked pinch-hitter Matt Stairs and hit catcher Carlos Ruiz with a pitch, bringing shortstop Jimmy Rollins to the plate. Rollins took the 1-1 pitch and drove it to the gap in right-center for a two-run double, giving Philadelphia the walk-off W and setting the stage for a Game 5 clinch.

Washington Nationals

Jayson Werth, Game 4 of 2012 NLDS

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Jayson Werth’s walk-off home run gave the Nationals new life in 2012 against the Cardinals, though St. Louis ultimately won the series. (G Fiume/Getty Images)

Thirteen is an unlucky number for some, but not Jayson Werth. In the 2012 NLDS, the Nationals were down two games to one to the Cardinals, and St. Louis had tied Game 4 1-1 in the third. 

Both teams remained scoreless until the ninth, when Werth led off the inning against Lance Lynn, who had just entered in relief. A 13-pitch at-bat ensued. The first two pitches from Lynn were strikes, with Werth taking both, then two waste pitches followed to try to get Werth to chase. Werth fouled off the fifth pitch, 97 mph in on the hands, then fouled off two more 97-mph offerings and one at 96 that was just out of reach of first baseman Allen Craig in the dugout. Werth just got a piece of an off-speed pitch from Lynn that followed, caught up to 96 once more with a foul and watched pitch No. 11 end up about as close to a low-and-outside strike as a pitch can get for ball three. 

The 12th was also fouled, and then Lynn caught middle-middle with No. 13; Werth lined it into the bullpen as if he had been waiting for it the entire time, forcing Game 5.

Cincinnati Reds

Joe Morgan, Game 3 of 1975 World Series

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Sparky Anderson (right) and Tony Perez (left) celebrate Joe Morgan’s walk-off hit in Game 3 of the 1975 World Series. (Getty Images)

Joe Morgan is one of the greatest second basemen in MLB history, and 1975 was his greatest season. That would be true taking just his regular season into account, but Morgan also posted a .974 OPS in an NLCS sweep of the Pirates, and then put the Reds up, two games to one, over the Red Sox in the World Series. 

In the 10th inning of a 5-5 Game 3, Boston reliever Roger Moret gave up a walk-off single to Morgan, a hard-hit ball over the head of Fred Lynn in center field. There is no dramatic Game 7 victory for the Reds without this Game 3 win, the first of back-to-back World Series championships for Cincinnati.

Chicago Cubs

Stan Hack, Game 6 of 1945 World Series

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Cubs manager Charlie Grimm (right) gives Stan Hack a hug in the clubhouse after Hack’s 12th-inning double evened the World Series at 3-3. (Getty Images)

The last World Series win for the Cubs before 2016 was in 1908, but the last World Series appearance before then came in 1945. Chicago nearly ended its unfortunate streak there, with more than a little help from 35-year-old Stan Hack. The veteran pushed the end of his last great season one game further, in the 12th inning of Game 6 of the World Series against the Detroit Tigers. 

Hack snuck a ball right past the shortstop into left field, breaking the tie with an RBI double and forcing a Game 7 against Detroit – the fourth hit of the day for Hack in five trips to the plate, and his third RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers

Nyjer Morgan, Game 5 of 2011 NLDS

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Nyjer Morgan’s walk-off single in Game 5 of the 2011 NLDS eliminated the Diamondbacks (Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

The 2008 season was the first time that the Brewers had even been to the postseason since 1982, and that ended abruptly in the (then) first-round NLDS. Milwaukee returned to the playoffs in 2011, and that run went significantly better, albeit still shy of a World Series. In a decisive Game 5 against the Diamondbacks, the Brewers allowed the tying run in the top of the ninth and then went down in order in the bottom of the inning, forcing a conclusion in extras. 

The Brewers did not have to wait long for one: outfielder Nyjer Morgan came to bat with one out and Carlos Goméz on first – then second after a steal – and skipped a single up the middle past the foot of closer J.J. Putz to eliminate the D-backs and reach the first-ever NLCS for Milwaukee.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Bill Mazeroski, Game 7 of 1960 World Series

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Bill Mazeroski is doused with champagne in the locker room after hitting the home run that won the 1960 World Series for Pittsburgh against the New York Yankees. (Getty Images)

This was the first-ever World Series to end with a walk-off homer that ended the entire series in Game 7. Pirates second baseman Bill Mazeroski was not a bad hitter by any means, but he was not making any lists of players you would want up in the situation he found himself in, either, given he hit eighth more than anywhere else in the lineup in his career in the era before the DH. 

Tied 9-9 in the bottom of the ninth against the Yankees, Mazeroski came to the plate to face Game 4 starter Ralph Terry, who had come on in relief in the previous inning. He picked up his second loss of the World Series here, as Mazeroski swatted a pitch that caught far too much plate and sent it into the bleachers to net the Pirates a championship.

St. Louis Cardinals

David Freese, Game 6 of 2011 World Series

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David Freese’s postseason accomplishments are legendary, and it started in the 2011 World Series. (Ron T. Ennis/Fort Worth Star-Telegram/Tribune News Service via Getty Images)

Rangers fans, look away. With two outs in the bottom of the ninth inning, down by two and facing down closer Neftalí Feliz and the end of St. Louis’ season, Cardinals third baseman David Freese continued what had already been a torrid World Series and hit a two-run triple to send the game to extras and prolong the Cards’ existence. 

Freese did not just give St. Louis a chance to win later, though: he also won the game for the Cardinals. 

In the 11th, Freese led off against Mark Lowe and, on a 3-2 count, crushed the next pitch to dead center and over the fence with room to spare. Freese won Game 6 for St. Louis, and then the Cardinals won Game 7 to complete the comeback as well.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Luis Gonzalez, Game 7 of 2001 World Series

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Luis Gonzalez bested Mariano Rivera to win the Diamondbacks the first World Series in franchise history. (Timothy A. Clary/AFP via Getty Images)

Luis Gonzalez had a career year in 2001, bashing 57 homers and driving in 142 runs while slugging .688. Even against the high-offense numbers of the era, Gonzalez managed an adjusted 174 OPS+ that would have ranked second among all hitters in 2026. 

It is not surprising, then, that it was Gonzalez who delivered the clinching hit in the World Series for the D-backs against the Yankees to keep New York from four-straight championships, but it is a little ironic that the slugger did it with a bloop that barely cleared the infield grass. You take what you can get against Mariano Rivera.

Colorado Rockies

Jamey Carroll, 2007 Game 163

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Jamey Carroll drove in Matt Holliday, who delivered a memorable slide past Padres catcher Michael Barrett to win Game 163. (Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)

It was not technically a postseason walk-off, since tiebreaking Game 163s – which no longer exist in the current playoff-eligibility setup – are counted as part of the regular season, both statistically and in the standings. A win-or-go-home extra game, though, has all the tension of a Game 7, and this 2007 showdown between the Rockies and Padres was no exception and more than worthy of standing as the finest walk-off moment for the Rockies. 

It was a back-and-forth affair that saw San Diego take an 8-6 lead after the top of the 13th, but Trevor Hoffman failed to close things out in the bottom of the frame: shortstop Troy Tulowitzki doubled in a run, then outfielder Matt Holliday tripled him in to tie the game. Then, infielder Jamey Carroll hit a sac fly that scored Holliday on a safe call at the plate that surprised the announcers.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Freddie Freeman, Game 1 of 2024 World Series

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Freddie Freeman’s walk-off grand slam against Nestor Cortes gave the Dodgers an early series lead in 2024 against the Yankees. (Keith Birmingham/MediaNews Group/Pasadena Star-News via Getty Images)

In 1988, Kirk Gibson hit a pinch-hit walk-off home run to win Game 1 of the World Series for the Dodgers despite suffering from multiple leg injuries. That was, without question, the greatest walk-off postseason hit for the Dodgers for decades – until Freddie Freeman managed to hit the one and only walk-off grand slam in World Series history in Game 1 of the 2024 Fall Classic against the Yankees. 

After this one, Gibson himself said it was time to change the guard. Freeman, like Gibson, was injured: he suffered a sprained ankle that limited him in the NLDS and NLCS, and then broke the costal cartilage in his sixth rib taking batting practice – an injury that usually knocks players out for months. Freeman hit a walk-off grand slam with those injuries, drove in a record-tying 12 RBIs in the series and became the first player to homer in the first four games of a World Series.

San Diego Padres

Steve Garvey, Game 4 of 1984 NLCS

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Steve Garvey celebrates with fans after his walk-off home run against the Cubs in 1984. (Mickey Pfleger/Sports Illustrated via Getty Images)

The Padres reached their first-ever World Series in 1984, and did so with the help of a walk-off by first baseman Steve Garvey. With the game tied 5-5 in the ninth, the Chicago Cubs had future Hall of Fame closer Lee Smith on the mound to keep San Diego from scoring, but he only managed to record a single out. 

Another future Cooperstown inductee, outfielder Tony Gwynn, singled to center to put the go-ahead run on, and then Garvey made sure there would not be a defensive play by going with an outside pitch the other way and sending it over the wall in right. The Padres forced a Game 5 en route to a series win.

San Francisco Giants

Bobby Thomson, Game 3 of 1951 NL Tiebreaker Series

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Bobby Thomson (left), Larry Jansen (center) and Sal Maglie celebrate Thomson’s “shot heard ’round the world.” (Getty Images)

This technically was not a postseason game, but it would surely have felt like it back in 1951.

The Brooklyn Dodgers and New York Giants, as both teams were known then, finished the 1951 regular season in a tie at 96-58. The National League tiebreaker of the day was a three-game playoff series, and the winner of that was onto the World Series.

The Giants won on the road in the first game, but were trounced in the second, 10-0, leaving a win-or-go-home third game at the Polo Grounds. The Dodgers began the bottom of the ninth up 4-1, three outs from the World Series, but Don Newcombe allowed a pair of singles to open the inning, then gave up an RBI double to Whitey Lockman, bringing up Bobby Thomson. 

If you know your baseball history, you know what happened next: the “Shot Heard ‘Round The World,” and repeated cries of the Giants winning the pennant.

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DALLAS — It’s a little after dinnertime in the Primrose Room of the Gaylord Texan Resort & Convention Center and we’re talking about bacon.

It’s not just any bacon, you see. It’s special bacon. Bacon that any member of the College Football Playoff selection committee will assuredly tell you tastes better than any other bacon you’ve tasted.

No, really.

“It’s realllyyyyy good bacon,” CFP Executive Director Rich Clark said, grinning.

But enough about bacon and its aura among CFP selection committee members. That wasn’t the point of this exercise. Well, not all of it.

I was in Dallas last week as the CFP hosted its annual mock selection exercise in the same suite where the actual committee will determine the first CFP rankings of the 2026 season in two weeks’ time.

The idea was to provide insight and transparency into the process. So shelve your conspiracy theories, angsty rankings takes and any other animosity you might have toward past selection committees.

The CFP hosted its annual media mock selection exercise at the Gaylord Texan Resort & Convention Center in Dallas. (Photo courtesy of Kevin Jairaj)

Let’s take a joint ride into the world of CFP selections.

How My CFP Selection Process Started

The deep brown hotel desk provided by J. Willard Marriott, a stone’s throw from Dallas Fort Worth International Airport, teamed with papers, pens and a binder that came into my possession in the span of two hours.

There was homework to be done.

As part of Friday morning’s exercise, I was tasked with ranking my top-30 teams from the end of the 2025 college football season. That’s a chore in itself.

I was provided a branded binder at dinner by the CFP staff, which included “team sheets” for each and every program in college football. Each one-sheeter provided a slew of stats, data and schedule information about the season a respective program had. The idea is to arm selection committee members with a convenient way to differentiate and rank everyone.

Ben Portnoy played the role of Nebraska Athletics Director Troy Dannen in a CFP media mock selection exercise. (Photo courtesy of Kevin Jairaj)

Choosing No. 1 was easy. Thanks to undefeated Big Ten champion Indiana for that. The rest, not so much.

The prep work isn’t exactly the same as it is for committee members. Those involved are provided an iPad at the beginning of each season that includes varying information from SportSource Analytics and game cutups designed to be easily digestible in around 45 minutes.

The committee — which is composed of one representative from each Power Four conference, two Group of Six leagues and another six former players, media members and coaches — and its general responsibilities mimic those of the NCAA basketball tournaments.

Each person is assigned a different conference — one that they don’t inherently represent — and serves as a point of contact for storylines and other information that might not be conveyed in the provided data. That work includes regular calls with the conference offices, including commissioners, about their programs and those that might be in the mix for a CFP berth.

But this is all just the beginning.

How Does The CFP Selection Committee Pick Teams?

The rankings’ system for the top 25 and, ultimately, placement in the CFP field is a far more tedious process than you’d imagine.

Utilizing the same computers and system the actual committee utilizes, we began Friday’s proceedings by placing each of the top 30 teams we respectively picked into the computer program. Those that were chosen — 41 different programs in this case — are then placed into essentially a holding pool for potential selection.

Then comes the actual rankings.

As we did to begin the exercise, we each picked six teams we believed should be considered for the top four spots. Those teams that received the six most votes from committee members are then projected onto the screen at the front of the room and discussion begins.

Media members gathered at the Gaylord Texan Resort & Convention Center for a CFP mock selection exercise. (Photo courtesy of Kevin Jairaj)

It’s from here where team sheets that include varying stats such as strength of schedule, strength of record, relative scoring offense, relative scoring differential, and more, are projected in front of committee members and debate ensues. 

The CFP utilizes a total of 12 different statistical metrics, along with a pair of strength metrics – none of which are predictive. There is no directive in which order those stats are designed to be applied when comparing teams, creating some level of variance on the committee from year to year. This differs from, for example, the NCAA men’s basketball committee, which has a slew of stats that it mandates are considered in a specific order of importance.

In this case, the six teams we picked included Indiana, Ohio State, Georgia, Texas Tech, Oregon and Ole Miss. After a spirited discussion, each committee member was then asked to pick four teams ranked from best to worst out of those six programs.

The four teams with the most votes from committee members are then placed into the field and we began the entire process again, repeating it until 25 teams are selected.

What Happens If The Rankings Don’t Look Right At The End Of Selections?

I’m glad you asked!

After weaving our way through four hours of discussion, our group decided to perform a “scrub,” or a reevaluation of a pod of teams that might not have previously been compared during the initial rankings process.

In our case, we ranked the back end of the CFP field as:

• No. 10 Alabama
• No. 11 Notre Dame
• No. 12 Texas
• No. 13 BYU

That didn’t jibe with everyone. Meeting the four-committee member threshold to call for a scrub, we pulled each of the four teams onto our screens and discussed.

Media members learned about the CFP’s process for ranking and selecting teams for the postseason. (Photo courtesy of Kevin Jairaj)

After about 10-15 minutes of spirited discussion, our committee re-voted on those teams we’d initially ranked Nos. 10-13. The scrub resulted in flipping around the rankings a touch:

• No. 10 Notre Dame
• No. 11 Alabama
• No. 12 Texas
• No. 13 BYU

Because the CFP requires the inclusion of the top four-ranked conference champions and one Group of Six squad, that meant that Notre Dame actually received the last spot in the field. Alabama and Texas were the first two teams out.

Confused? Let’s recap.

Teams ranked Nos. 1-10 received bids, Notre Dame last among those. ACC champion Duke (8-5) was also included in our field as a Power Four conference winner. Tulane (11-2), which came in at No. 16 in our rankings, landed the No. 11-seed as the Group of Six champion (We had the Green Wave ranked higher than Duke).

Perhaps Alabama fans should thank us. Wouldn’t being left home have been better than getting steamrolled at the Rose Bowl by No. 1 Indiana like we saw in real life? 

Food for thought.

What storylines should fans follow during this year’s CFP selections?

The entire experience took about five hours in total as we winded our way through selections, bracketing and the process by which this all came together.

But as we turn toward the actual selections that will begin after Week 8, there are a few other nuggets fans should keep an eye on:

New bracketing approach creates a strategy: This year marks the first in which the top seed can choose its own path throughout the CFP. After selections are finalized, the No. 1 seed will be able to select its preferred quarterfinal and semifinal site, adding a whole other level of strategy for coaches and administrators to consider.

Think, for example, if Georgia lands the No. 1 seed this year. It would almost certainly choose the Peach Bowl for its CFP quarterfinal. What if its semifinal matchup could potentially include Miami? It would almost certainly choose to face the Hurricanes in the Cotton Bowl rather than the Orange Bowl.

Expanding the CFP will impact selections: Life is all about timing, right? Naturally, I was in the thick of the CFP selection process when news trickled out that the field is likely to expand to 24 teams as soon as next year.

To be clear, this isn’t final yet. That said, the biggest thing I learned — and what CFP staffers explained to us given past precedent — is that determining teams ranked essentially 15 through 30ish is a coin flip. So how exactly are we going to parse through teams’ No. 22, 23, 24 and 25? No clue. Godspeed everyone.

Media members were chosen to play the role of an active CFP committee member during the mock selection exercise. (Photo courtesy of Ben Portnoy)

Other changes coming to the CFP: The 24-team field is the most obvious discussion point here, but it was mentioned by CFP staff that the group might need to release a ranking of more than just the 25 teams it currently does each week should that happen.

That much makes sense. If the field were 24 teams, revealing only the top 25 doesn’t feel particularly instructive if there are others close to the line. So, top 30? Top 35? Top 40? We’ll see. That figures to be a discussion point.

Clark noted there has also been some discussion about shelving the weekly rankings show that the CFP is contractually obligated to produce with ESPN. The show has been a lightning rod for criticism, and most national media members would tell you it puts the committee and committee chair in a brutal spot when having to evaluate and publicly discuss teams with incomplete data sets.

Is it going away? Probably not immediately, or ever. The show draws ratings. It creates controversy and conversation. Those tend to be important barometers for television networks.

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The United States will host the inaugural FIFA Women’s Club World Cup in 2028, soccer’s governing body said Thursday.

FIFA said the tournament featuring 19 of the best women’s clubs from around the world will take place Jan. 5–30 in 2028, but did not announce host cities. The Women’s Club World Cup will be staged every four years after that.

Seven clubs have already qualified for the inaugural event, FIFA said.

They include England’s Arsenal, Spain’s Barcelona, Mexico’s América, Gotham FC from the U.S., Corinthians from Brazil, China’s Wuhan Jiangda and Naegohyang from North Korea.

FIFA said it opted to return to the U.S. following the successful hosting of both this year’s men’s World Cup and the men’s Club World Cup in 2025.

“Ultimately, the United States’ recent excellence in staging top FIFA tournaments, combined with the significant interest in women’s football there plus its elite sporting infrastructure, made the country the standout option.” FIFA chief women’s football officer Sarai Bareman said.

Reporting by The Associated Press.

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Mauricio Pochettino had a plan for the U.S. men’s national team entering this international window, and it could hardly have gone much better.

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Last week, the public betting masses generally laid off Indiana and piled on Ohio State. They were proven correct, with the Buckeyes winning 19-15 as 2.5-point favorites.

In college football Week 8 odds, though, bettors appear to be back on the Hoosiers … sort of.

“It’s more about the matchup. The public is making a bit more of an anti-Michigan play, even with Indiana’s struggles against the spread,” Caesars Sports head of football trading Joey Feazel said.

Bookmakers and sharp bettors serve up their insights on FOX’s Big Noon Kickoff, along with Ole Miss vs. Texas and more in college football Week 8 betting.

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  College Football Rocks On FOX

No. 5 Indiana nearly tumbled in Week 6 at Nebraska, rallying for a 20-17 victory after trailing 17-6 in the fourth quarter.

In Week 7 at home vs. Ohio State, the Hoosiers’ luck ended, and with it their 22-game win streak. Indiana is now 6-1 straight up (SU), but more telling, 1-6 against the spread (ATS), after being a consistently solid bet for the masses in the 2024 and 2025 seasons.

For Week 8, Caesars Sports opened Indiana as a 7.5-point favorite vs. Michigan (4-2 SU/2-4 ATS), in a noon ET kickoff. But the first move went toward the home underdog Wolverines, with the Hoosiers dipping to -7 on Sunday and still sitting at -7 on Thursday morning.

“There was sharp money on Michigan +7.5,” Feazel said.

That said, the public is back on Indiana this week. Or at least, as Feazel noted above, making the anti-Michigan play, with the Wolverines on an 0-3 ATS skid and not exactly looking impressive this season.

“We did see a lot of public Ohio State action last week,” Feazel said. “But this week, we’re only seeing one-way traffic on the Indiana side, and we expect that to continue.

“Michigan has not been a public darling this year.”

True freshman Tommy Carr is expected to start for the Wolverines. Coach Kyle Whittinghan benched Bryce Underwood at halftime last week vs. Penn State, and Carr came on to lead a 21-18 victory.

Oh Say Can You SEC

Not a week goes by without a big SEC game, and there are often two or three. That’s again the case this week, with No. 7 Ole Miss vs. No. 19 Texas leading the way.

The Longhorns (4-2 SU/1-5 ATS) have surprisingly lost two in a row, despite being solid favorites both times. In Week 6, Texas tumbled to Oklahoma 27-24 as a 7.5-point neutral-site favorite. In Week 7, Texas closed -13.5 at home vs. Florida, built a 17-3 second-quarter lead, then gave it all away in another 27-24 loss.

Conversely, the Rebels (5-1 SU/3-3 ATS) are coming off an impressive 31-3 wipeout of Missouri as 3.5-point home favorites.

Caesars opened Texas -3.5 vs. Ole Miss in college football Week 8 odds, for a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff Saturday. The line backed up to Texas -3 on Monday, then returned to -3.5 on  Tuesday, where it remained Thursday morning.

But the masses are wary of the Longhorns, who have failed to cover in their last five games.

“Texas action is starting to peel back,” Feazel said. “So far this week, it’s two-way action. A couple weeks ago, this would’ve been all Texas. Arch Manning hasn’t shown that pedigree, and bettors are now starting to react to that.

“We’ll probably still need Ole Miss at the end of the day. But action is not as one-sided as it would’ve been if Texas was undefeated.”

Feazel also noted the total climbed from 52.5 to 54.5, with sharp play on the Over at 52.5 and 53.5.

Arch Manning has had a roller-coaster of a season so far (Getty Images).

  On-Campus Sharp Side

Last week, college football betting expert Paul Stone expected a lower-scoring game between Ohio State and Indiana, and indeed it was. Stone was on Under 51, and the two teams combined for just 34 points.

This week, he’s involved with a late-night Big 12 showdown: No. 14 Houston (6-1 SU/3-4 ATS) vs. No. 10 Utah (6-0 SU/5-1 ATS), at 10:15 p.m. ET Saturday.

Utah is a consensus 6.5-point home favorite in the pivotal Big 12 matchup, with potential playoff implications. Stone views the teams as being virtually even and recommends taking underdog Houston and the points.

“Houston went toe-to-toe with Texas Tech in Lubbock back in Week 3, losing 28-26, and has faced the more difficult schedule,” Stone said. “Utah has handled its business against a fairly friendly schedule. So I’m not sure we know exactly who the Utes are at this point.

“I view this as a four-quarter game going down to the final possession.”

Speaking of Cougars-Utes …

Big 12 Battles

At Caesars Sports, Utah has been painted to -6.5 all week, with no movement on the spread. And betting so far supports that stable line.

“It’s really balanced action,” Feazel said. “There’s probably not going to be a really big need for us on either side. But more people are leaning into the Over. So we’ll just need a lower-scoring game.”

Caesars’ total is at 56.5, also unchanged from the opening number, as of Thursday morning.

In another Big 12 contest, No. 8 Texas Tech (6-0 SU/3-3 ATS) visits Cincinnati (4-2 SU/3-3 ATS) in a noon ET Saturday kickoff on FS1. Caesars opened the Red Raiders as 11.5-point road favorites, with a total of 55.5, and neither number lasted long this week.

“We got a little bit of sharp action on Cincinnati +11.5 and Over 55.5,” Feazel said, noting he moved Texas Tech to -10.5 and the total to 56.5. “There’s slightly more Texas Tech action on the spread, and people are jumping on the Bearcats moneyline.”

On Thursday morning, that moneyline was +340, meaning a Cincinnati outright upset would pay $340 on a $100 bet.

“Right now, we’re needing a bit of a Super Bowl middle — Texas Tech winning and Cincy covering the spread,” Feazel said. “But Texas Tech will be a popular option on moneyline parlays.”

Meaning Caesars might not mind a Bearcats victory, to blow up those parlays early in the day.

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Two yards behind the line of scrimmage and three yards from the end zone, Bills linebacker Terrell Bernard found Raiders running back Ashton Jeanty. You could argue that Jeanty found Bernard – running right into the linebacker. 

Regardless, at the point of contact, the 5-foot-8, 208-pound Jeanty used his considerable strength to twist and churn toward the goal line. Even with Bernard bear-hugging him, Jeanty made his way into the end zone for his first rushing touchdown of the season.

It was Week 6. That’s how long it took Jeanty to get into the end zone.

And that play was a microcosm of the debate surrounding the sixth-overall pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. He just barely eked out a one-yard gain, and that was because he saw contact in the backfield. The question is whether Jeanty could’ve done more to avoid that contact. Because on all six of his previous carries inside the 5-yard line (eighth-most in the NFL), he had not scored.

It’s one of the many points of inefficiency that have plagued him during his two NFL seasons.

What’s wrong with Jeanty? Why can’t he find room to run? Why is he averaging 3.2 yards per carry – and why did he get just two carries (for minus-5 yards) in the second half of the team’s loss to the Bills on Sunday?

There’s the ankle injury, which he suffered in training camp. It has popped up on the injury report this year, but the running back has said he’s healthy. 

There’s more going on here. Even Klint Kubiak, normally the NFL’s most reserved coach, indicated that Jeanty might be headed for a reduced workload.

“I think we’re gonna have to get production from all three of our backs,” Kubiak said on Monday. “Mike Washington did some good stuff yesterday. I thought overall our backs ran harder yesterday. I thought they broke tackles. I thought they moved the line of scrimmage once things weren’t there. I thought [running backs coach Omar Young] did a really good job of challenging our guys. I thought they had one of their better games, and I expect that to continue.”

(Photo by Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

From my vantage point, Kubiak would be right to feature Jeanty less. Because in just about every way, the Raiders are a better team this season – except for in the run game, where Jeanty was supposed to lead the charge.

When Jeanty entered the draft, the Boise State All-American looked like the second coming of Maurice Jones-Drew or Josh Jacobs. But nowadays? He’s drawing different comparisons. 

Jeanty is starting to look like Trent Richardson, perhaps the biggest running back bust in NFL history.

If you need a refresher on who Richardson was, then let’s go back to the 2012 draft when the Alabama superstar went third overall. Upon arriving in Cleveland, it took the Browns roughly one season to sour on him. So two games into the 2013 season, the Browns traded him to the Colts, who thought they could resuscitate his career. They couldn’t. Richardson never averaged more than 3.6 yards per carry in any one of his four NFL seasons.

He was the caveat to avoid running backs in the top 10 of the draft. Which is why it’s so troubling that there are several points of comparison between Jeanty and Richardson at the same point in their careers.

It was ESPN’s Bill Barnwell who first pointed out these comparisons after Jeanty’s underwhelming rookie year. Around that time, NFL Hall of Fame running back LaDainian Tomlinson made one more comparison. Tomlinson saw himself in Jeanty.

“I am huge on Ashton Jeanty. I think he showed some qualities on a bad team that you see from top running backs,” Tomlinson said on the “Fantasy Points” podcast. “I’m just going to tell you, his first year reminded me of mine. It was tough sledding. I think I averaged 3.7 or 3.8 yards per carry my rookie year. I’m absolutely targeting Ashton Jeanty [in fantasy football]. I’m planning on coming out of my draft with Ashton. Let me just say that.”

Maybe Tomlinson spent the 2001 season struggling, but he ascended quickly in his second year – with 1,683 rushing yards, 14 rushing touchdowns, 498 receiving yards and another receiving touchdown. And his yards per carry (4.5) went way up in 2002.

We have yet to see that leap for Jeanty. In some ways, he is getting worse, including yards per carry, where he has fallen from 3.7 in 2025 to 3.2 in 2026.

There were real reasons for optimism, namely that Kubiak was arriving with a scheme that seemed ideal to feature Jeanty. And Kubiak brought in one of the league’s top free agents, center Tyler Linderbaum, to improve the offensive line.

There were numbers to give Tomlinson hope for more from Jeanty. In his rookie season. Jeanty had 83% of his yards after contact, the highest in the NFL. And he had .4 yards before contact per carry. In other words, the blocking was poor – and he was still finding ways to get the most out of the bad situation.

This season, Jeanty is actually generating more yards after contact: 90.3% (fifth in the NFL among RBs with 50-plus carries). And he’s also seeing quicker contact, at .3 yards before contact per carry. 

So the question is whether Jeanty’s blocking has gotten worse? Or whether he’s getting worse at using his blocking?

On film, I’m seeing a mix of both. There do seem to be opportunities for Jeanty to get upfield and work through the creases in the line. And that’s why I’ll get to our last comparison. It’s to Jeanty’s teammate: fourth-round rookie Mike Washington. He has, in bursts, looked better than Jeanty in the same offense.

This year, Washington has 34 carries for 168 yards with one touchdown. And to be fair to Jeanty, that one touchdown is doing a lot of work for Washington. That 36-yard score helped his numbers. It’s not like we can discount it. It happened to Washington (and not Jeanty). That big-play ability is exactly what the Raiders are seeking from Jeanty, but he has yet to deliver.

Jeanty’s success rate is higher, at 35.7%, than Washington’s at 32.4%, per Next Gen Stats. (Successful carries gain 50-plus percent of the needed yards on first down, 60-plus percent on second down, and 100 percent on third or fourth down.) But other than that, Jeanty’s rush yards over expected per carry is -0.3 compared to Washington’s 0.7 – and Washington has five explosive runs (10-plus yards), the same number as Jeanty with roughly a third of the carries.

At the end of Week 6 against the Bills, it felt like the Raiders were turning the ball over to Washington more than Jeanty. It wasn’t an outright benching, but it did feel like a message. Jeanty wasn’t doing enough.

The Raiders have every reason to explore Washington in an increased role – except, perhaps, for Jeanty’s salary and draft status. They want Jeanty to work out. Maybe he will, as the ankle improves and the offensive line continues to adapt to Kubiak’s offensive scheme.

Maybe, maybe, maybe.

But right now, Washington seems to have concrete evidence on his side. Jeanty doesn’t. Perhaps that’s why we saw Jeanty’s workload decrease on Sunday. Perhaps that’s why we’ll see more of Washington in the coming weeks.

This was the year Jeanty was expected to take a leap forward. So far, he’s done the opposite.

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This season is heating up, isn’t it? Teams that we thought were dead to rights are suddenly alive. 

Here’s where I’m putting my money in Week 7.

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Chicago quarterback Caleb Williams returned from a hamstring injury last week but understandably didn’t look to use his legs much, running for just three yards. I expect him to be cautious this week as well.

Hill’s Pick: Caleb Williams Under 18.5 rushing yards

It’s rarely pretty with the Steelers, but for years now they have found ways to win more games than they lose. However, laying 3.5 in a neutral venue has me looking toward the underdog.

Hill’s Pick: Saints +3.5

Houston quarterback CJ Stroud is back to the elite form he displayed as a rookie in 2023. I expect the Texans to force some turnovers against new Giants starter JJ McCarthy and win going away.

Hill’s Pick: Texans -10.5

Through five games, Vikings kicker Will Reichard is a perfect 15-for-15 on field-goal attempts. I like his chances of getting a few more through the uprights on Sunday.

Hill’s Pick: Will Reichard Over 2 made field goals

The 49ers are depleted at wide receiver, with future Hall of Famer Mike Evans being the most recent injury. They head to Atalanta off of a short week having played Monday night.  I like the home team to pull off the mini-upset. 

Hill’s Pick: Falcons +2.5

Carolina wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan is emerging as one of the best in the league, averaging 94 yards per game this season. His prop is set at only 69.5.

Hill’s Pick: Tetairoa McMillan Over 69.5 receiving yards

The Dolphins have been fairly competitive and have done so against a very difficult schedule, having already played all three undefeated teams in the NFL. I like them to keep it close Sunday.

Hill’s Pick: Dolphins +4.5

As usual, there is uncertainty regarding Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson’s availability entering this pivotal AFC North showdown. I’ll take the Bengals to win against a possibly short-handed Ravens team.

Hill’s Pick: Bengals +1.5

The Browns are a good story, but they are 4-2 despite the play of quarterback Deshaun Watson, not because of it. The Titans got their first win last week, and won’t win many more, but Watson and the Browns being a road favorite has me looking at the home team.

Hill’s Pick: Titans +1.5

The Broncos haven’t played since last Thursday night and can perhaps get their offense on track against a shaky Arizona defense. I like Denver kicker Will Lutz to make a few field goals for an offense that has struggled to get in the end zone, with ideal kicking conditions in the desert.

Hill’s Pick: Will Lutz Over 2 made field goals

The Over/Under total for this game is 53.5. Every Lions game this year has gone past that number. They’ve played two games that have gotten into the 60s and one game that has gotten into the 70s. The Lions have played five games, and they’ve all gone Over. I’ll stick with that trend.

Hill’s Pick: Over 53.5

Las Vegas star tight end Brock Bowers is one of the elite weapons in all of football, and his receiving prop is set at a modest 71.5. He’s eclipsed that number in all but one game he’s played this year, and even in that one he got to 70.

Hill’s Pick: Brock Bowers Over 7.15 receiving yards

The Chiefs are undefeated but will face by far their toughest test of the year to date, as they visit the defending champs, who are hungry having lost two straight. Seattle is also rested, having not played since last Thursday. The Chiefs have played a weak schedule. I like them to lose their first game Sunday night.

Hill’s Pick: Seahawks -2.5

The Eagles’ season has quickly gone off the rails, but winning in Philadelphia is never easy, especially in a rivalry game in primetime. I like the desperate Eagles to keep it close.

Hill’s Pick: Eagles +4.5

 

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