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Two things have undoubtedly been true this summer: the superstars are shining, and the Golden Boot odds seem to be changing every minute.
Just as they did on matchday 1, Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland stole the spotlight again on Monday, combining for six more goals.
Messi struck first, setting the all-time World Cup goals record in the first half of Argentina’s match against Austria. He then added another goal in extra time at game’s end, giving him 18 World Cup goals all time and five through two 2026 World Cup games.
That performance briefly made Messi the Golden Boot favorite at +150.
But the lead didn’t last long.
A few hours later, Mbappé responded with two goals of his own, jumping from +350 to +155 to reclaim the favorite spot on the board. The French superstar now has 16 career World Cup goals, tying Miroslav Klose for the second-most in men’s World Cup history.
The back-and-forth between two of the greatest players in the history of the sport is shaping up to make this a historic summer, with records likely to be broken and traded every time these two superstars step onto the pitch.
If that wasn’t enough, Haaland added two more goals of his own in Norway’s 3-2 win over Senegal to tighten the race even further.
Messi now has the most goals this tournament with five, Mbappé and Haaland are tied for second with four, Canada’s Jonathan David and Germany’s Deniz Undav have three, and a host of other stars — Harry Kane, Vinícius Jr., Mikel Oyarzabal and Kai Havertz — have two.
The 2026 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot race is already shaping up to be historic. Let’s dive into the updated odds at FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 22.
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Golden Boot Winner 2026
Kylian Mbappé: +155 (bet $10 to win $25.50 total)
Lionel Messi: +165 (bet $10 to win $26.50 total)
Erling Haaland: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Harry Kane: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)
Mikel Oyarzabal: +2200 (bet $10 to win $230 total)
Deniz Undav: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Lamine Yamal: +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total)
Vinícius Júnior: +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total)
Johan Manzambi: +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total)
Jonathan David: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Folarin Balogun: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Cody Gakpo: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Kai Havertz: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Matheus Cunha: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Ayase Ueda +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Here’s what to know about this oddsboard:
The Favorite(s): Recognize those two names atop the board? In Argentina’s opener against Algeria, with his first career World Cup hat trick, Messi tied Miroslav Klose for the most goals in men’s World Cup history with 16, while also setting the record as the oldest player (38) to record a hat trick, passing Cristiano Ronaldo. Then, in Argentina’s second game against Austria, Messi scored late in the first half to pass Klose for the record, and scored once more late in the contest to put some space between himself and Klose.
Mbappé entered the tournament as the Golden Boot favorite. The French superstar scored twice in his World Cup opener, as he became France’s new all-time leader in goals with 58. Then, in his second World Cup match just hours after Messi pulled away, Mbappé added two more goals to regain favoritism. He won the Golden Boot at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar and is looking to become the first player in history to win two World Cup Golden Boot awards.
